Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000042 0.000046 0.000050 0.000055 0.000060 0.000065 0.000072
2025-11-30 0.000037 0.000042 0.000047 0.000054 0.000062 0.000071 0.000082
2025-12-07 0.000032 0.000037 0.000044 0.000052 0.000061 0.000073 0.000087
2025-12-14 0.000029 0.000034 0.000041 0.000049 0.000060 0.000073 0.000091
2025-12-21 0.000026 0.000032 0.000039 0.000048 0.000059 0.000074 0.000094
2025-12-28 0.000024 0.000029 0.000036 0.000046 0.000058 0.000074 0.000096
2026-01-04 0.000022 0.000027 0.000034 0.000044 0.000057 0.000074 0.000098
2026-01-11 0.000020 0.000026 0.000033 0.000043 0.000057 0.000076 0.000103
2026-01-18 0.000020 0.000026 0.000033 0.000044 0.000059 0.000080 0.000112
2026-01-25 0.000022 0.000029 0.000039 0.000053 0.000073 0.000101 0.000146
2026-02-01 0.000020 0.000027 0.000037 0.000050 0.000070 0.000099 0.000146
2026-02-08 0.000019 0.000026 0.000035 0.000048 0.000068 0.000098 0.000146
2026-02-15 0.000018 0.000025 0.000035 0.000049 0.000071 0.000104 0.000160
2026-02-22 0.000017 0.000024 0.000034 0.000049 0.000072 0.000108 0.000169
2026-03-01 0.000016 0.000022 0.000032 0.000046 0.000070 0.000106 0.000171
2026-03-08 0.000015 0.000021 0.000030 0.000044 0.000068 0.000105 0.000173
2026-03-15 0.000014 0.000020 0.000029 0.000043 0.000066 0.000105 0.000176
2026-03-22 0.000013 0.000019 0.000027 0.000041 0.000064 0.000103 0.000176
2026-03-29 0.000012 0.000017 0.000026 0.000039 0.000063 0.000102 0.000177
2026-04-05 0.000011 0.000017 0.000025 0.000039 0.000063 0.000104 0.000184
2026-04-12 0.000011 0.000017 0.000025 0.000040 0.000065 0.000110 0.000201
2026-04-19 0.000013 0.000019 0.000029 0.000047 0.000080 0.000140 0.000267
2026-04-26 0.000012 0.000018 0.000028 0.000045 0.000077 0.000136 0.000264